Reflecting-Gearshift
0x0bdc847347571342e1563971e8ba206c8b03e345
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-12.79
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
243 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.39
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
192 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- KAYLA DAY
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day
177 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
175 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
153 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
116 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TENA LUKAS
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja
97 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
97 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- MICKAEL KAOUK
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the World Cup?$158.15Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$27.49Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.77Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$0.98Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the World Cup?$1.34Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.41Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.12Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$27.40Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.66Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$24.97Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$22.03Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87.53Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$10.81Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$20.55Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$41.07Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1.57Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$14.85Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.18Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the World Cup?$26.86Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$4.81Jun 14, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $25.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.