Finished-Revolver
0x0c3aee860c042e83c68b3538a004086d686a0322
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$3.20
Total PnL
$-493.03
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.23
$0.01
- NO
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.04
$-0.00
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 3?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?
1228 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Hawks
120 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
107 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- OVER
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 7.5
106 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-28.61
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Kings
103 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
103 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 3?$1.00Jul 31, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27?$1.00Jul 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27?$1.00Jul 26, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.35Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.35Jun 24, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 23?$1.10Jun 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 23?$1.10Jun 20, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.50Jun 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.50Jun 17, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$1.21May 29, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.04May 23, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.30May 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.30May 2, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.20May 1, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.02May 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.21May 1, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.10May 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.37May 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.02May 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.20Apr 30, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.