Inexperienced-Lining
0x0c4deb1757060a40957b53a679212418049db14a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$62.02
Total PnL
$-161.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 71.5¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$29.60
$1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 57.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$24.51
$-2.69
- YES
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$6.45
$-0.15
- NO
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.46
$-0.54
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- MONTE
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
70 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.10
- NO
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria?
27 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
15 shares @ 90.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$21.74Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$51.07Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$100.01Jun 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$20.05Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$50.03Jun 18, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal?$20.20Jun 16, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$48.70Jun 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?$31.41Jun 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.01Jun 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal?$20.01Jun 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$5.01Jun 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?$30.04Jun 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$30.09Jun 16, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$140.00Jun 16, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?$23.53Jun 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.95Jun 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.55Jun 15, 21:32 UTC
- SPLITWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$140.00Jun 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?$20.09Jun 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.20Jun 15, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.