Merry-Ferret
0x0c5cc83d11cc7d58f8d62025306549bd26bbdea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$24.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
415 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$406.84
$12.66
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
325 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.66
$6.36
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.75
$0.55
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.77
$2.28
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
40 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.79
$0.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.73
$2.69
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.23
$0.12
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
25 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.00
$0.20
- NO
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.56
$-0.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.