Sweaty-Detainment
0x0c66c0ce044b94b1d18e958a32b8f1b5b2535f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.29
Total PnL
$-247.24
Realised
$-53.85
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.14
$1.98
- NO
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$2.70
- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 59.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.62
$-5.46
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-2.81
- NO
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.34
$-2.85
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
477 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-111.52
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWorld Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia$1.56May 26, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia$2.97May 26, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia$2.35May 26, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia$5.07May 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia$10.13May 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$7.78May 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.66May 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.07May 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.90Mar 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.50Mar 18, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark$0.00Mar 18, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.70Mar 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.90Mar 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.60Mar 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.40Mar 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.30Mar 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.20Mar 9, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.08Mar 9, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.40Mar 8, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.50Mar 8, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.