0x0cf64b6b0f9eee743ac8e17b44cf13eea06d44c1
0x0cf64b6b0f9eee743ac8e17b44cf13eea06d44c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$491.55
Total PnL
$-82.94
Realised
$37.13
Win rate
81%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
74 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$73.82
$5.63
- NO
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 35.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.50
$34.40
- NO
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?
48 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$47.71
$0.23
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
34 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.94
$7.77
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.88
$0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
28 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$28.42
$4.26
- NO
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$21.98
$0.07
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
37 shares @ 74.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.21
$-6.09
- NO
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 16.5m?
17 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$17.34
$0.11
- YES
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?
17 shares @ 73.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$17.20
$4.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.04Jun 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.56Jun 8, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.93Jun 4, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.40Jun 3, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.16Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.14Jun 3, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.12Jun 3, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.15Jun 2, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02Jun 2, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02Jun 2, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.28Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.25May 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02May 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02May 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02May 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02May 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.02May 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.45May 27, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.53May 24, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.