Long-Filing
0x0d05f084bb744dbe1eec0aa4a9b7b8ef0ccd305b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$-57.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1818 shares @ 25.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
768 shares @ 63.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$702.72
$218.88
- SRI LANKA
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
71 shares @ 89.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$56.41
$-7.42
- NO
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.35
$-20.08
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
22 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.34Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kast win by at least 25%?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?$2.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMSBF released from custody in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 9?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ return to Binance by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.