Angelic-Brocolli
0x0d0c084d5c91bed8e18f428485534c0463c0d112
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$122.97
Total PnL
$-260.51
Realised
$-2.88
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
71 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.43
$41.43
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$6.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.39
$1.39
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
11 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$-15.17
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$1.12
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
129 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
110 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.00Jun 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$10.29Jun 8, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$30.00Jun 8, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.00Jun 6, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$51.42Jun 6, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$207.55Jun 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$8.00May 24, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$16.85May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$15.00May 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$110.00May 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$37.20May 20, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.93May 2, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$16.33Apr 12, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$70.00Apr 12, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$0.00Mar 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$23.81Mar 15, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$23.81Mar 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$27.80Mar 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.00Mar 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$20.00Mar 9, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.