0x0d1972d4cee63a8022767258bda1589c79b6c745
0x0d1972d4cee63a8022767258bda1589c79b6c745
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$476.33
Total PnL
$-113.82
Realised
$-23.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1098 shares @ 42.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$444.83
$-25.79
- YES
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?
674 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.81
$4.02
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
233 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
549 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.51
$-1.49
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.79
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 600-700k people?$0.05Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 600-700k people?$0.06Jul 24, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 600-700k people?$0.13Jul 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 600-700k people?$0.13Jul 23, 08:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.