Short-Bonding
0x0d4b759c40a799f47a4c986716b8e8c0b46921c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$464.80
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$72.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1450 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.86
$-36.14
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
114 shares @ 87.4¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.38
$3.38
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
55 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$40.20
$5.20
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
82 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$38.78
$-1.22
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
110 shares @ 36.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$35.87
$-4.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
234 shares @ 17.1¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.57
$-6.43
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
153 shares @ 65.3¢·now 20.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.64
$-68.36
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 85.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- NO
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.19Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$10.12Jun 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$5.11Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$10.12Jun 13, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$6.13Jun 13, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$35.38Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.25Jun 13, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$30.40Jun 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$20.38Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$40.61Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$20.35Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.15Jun 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.19Jun 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10.23Jun 11, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $20.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.