Sleepy-Bridge
0x0d78edfa1cc90e214216d202a05aff4e299d2650
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$155.75
Total PnL
$-578.49
Realised
$-404.90
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$31.00
$15.00
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.00
$-4.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$-28.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5
106 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-61.65
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?
50 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$21.73Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.44Jun 24, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$51.10Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$1.45Jun 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$13.88Jun 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$1.50Jun 23, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$13.83Jun 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$3.29Jun 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$5.40Jun 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$38.15Jun 23, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$38.50Jun 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$6.90Jun 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$7.50Jun 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$16.69Jun 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$17.00Jun 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$21.38Jun 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$22.50Jun 23, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$26.38Jun 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$11.00Jun 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$2.12Jun 23, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.