Skinny-Disappointment
0x0da262dae0af2ba1498dceb915eb032246dbef4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$168.51
Total PnL
$-48.81
Realised
$1.43
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
93 shares @ 44.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$63.87
$21.97
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
275 shares @ 16.4¢·now 13.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$36.30
$-8.70
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
214 shares @ 23.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$27.87
$-22.13
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
54 shares @ 27.9¢·now 31.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$16.79
$1.79
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
340 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.63
$-3.37
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
24 shares @ 20.8¢·now 26.1¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$6.26
$1.26
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
109 shares @ 8.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.04
$-3.63
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
175 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.73
$-0.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$12.10Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$10.18Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$5.17Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$10.37Jun 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.19Jun 12, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39Jun 10, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$5.20Jun 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$10.36Jun 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$5.17Jun 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$5.17Jun 8, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$10.30Jun 7, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.33Jun 6, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.10Jun 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.01Jun 4, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.05Jun 4, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.00Jun 4, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$10.75Jun 4, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$10.05Jun 4, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.12Jun 4, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.