Competent-Material
0x0dacce8cef6cdb05db61723687392b7ea0b1082f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$55.27
Total PnL
$-5.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.41
$10.41
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$16.67
$11.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.57
$-2.43
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-3.43
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$5.00Mar 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$5.00Mar 5, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 5, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.83Mar 5, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 5, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.