Brisk-Ephyra
0x0dbdb78fa16659b11b23646a95bc1fbb8e69f4a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$83.9K
Total PnL
$561.79
Realised
$648.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22936 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.9K
$340.40
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
18494 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.6K
$601.07
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
27495 shares @ 39.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.7K
$769.74
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
10700 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
8878 shares @ 89.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$410.06
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
7906 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.9K
$1.2K
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
4000 shares @ 71.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$846.74
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
1036 shares @ 84.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$740.54
$-129.11
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
677 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$677.31
$45.71
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
540 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.60
$44.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.65Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.64Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.64Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.64Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.64Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.62Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.62Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.62Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.