Disguised-Leap
0x0dcc0d2eba171d8abcff04c594e38b5b16d8031e
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$376.00
Total PnL
$-440.33
Realised
$-16.98
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
100 shares @ 85.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.50
$0.76
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Utah vs. Golden Knights
38 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$38.20
$15.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.04
$-1.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande officially release Petal by June 30, 2026?$1.0021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$1.0021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$2.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.002d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$73.308d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$104.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$85.7410d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$140.0010d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$266.4010d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $58.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".