Remorseful-Feel
0x0de64db2ebe159257b523c5525f8d04a045e9933
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$31.58
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
400 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$394.60
$-2.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
390 shares @ 99.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$378.50
$-9.94
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
300 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$292.35
$-1.65
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.4¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$184.70
$-14.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
155 shares @ 97.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$134.68
$-15.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$56.98
$6.98
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 38.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.55
$36.88
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.85
$16.18
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.24
$15.57
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$14.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$50.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$299.40Jul 9, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$11.28Jul 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$298.12Jul 9, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$294.29Jul 9, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 9?$822.18Jul 9, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$198.86Jul 9, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 10?$307.06Jul 9, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$150.84Jul 9, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 10?$306.25Jul 9, 04:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jul 9, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$291.99Jul 8, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$388.52Jul 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$289.81Jul 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$486.54Jul 8, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$299.10Jul 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$298.00Jul 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$305.18Jul 8, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $233.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.