Intent-Candelabra
0x0e06a8c8d7fa59f7479914441b570bffe96347ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$46.74
Total PnL
$-49.68
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
21 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$21.37
$0.11
- HAILEY BAPTISTE
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$9.50
$0.01
- YES
Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 3, 10PM ET?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.90
$0.20
- NO
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
54 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$2.18Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$11.08Jun 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$4.99Jun 10, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$4.99Jun 10, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.09Jun 10, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$10.03Jun 4, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.00Jun 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00May 27, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.40May 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.40May 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.16May 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.09May 24, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$1.10May 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$1.10May 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.07May 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.01May 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.09May 8, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$45.23May 8, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.