Skeletal-Sail
0x0e37feaba907b69b862bf25190804c972abd20be
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$33.46
Total PnL
$-159.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$14.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42 shares @ 23.4¢·now 21.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.22
$-0.61
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$-0.05
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.77
$-0.88
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.73
$0.53
- YES
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
15 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$1.24
$-0.02
- YES
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.87
$-0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
28 shares @ 93.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
10 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?$22.06Jul 2, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?$15.24Jul 2, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?$17.44Jul 2, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?$14.96Jul 2, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$0.97Jul 1, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$4.70Jul 1, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.13Jul 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$0.24Jul 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$1.31Jul 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.09Jul 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$28.00Jul 1, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$30.00Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$8.00Jul 1, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$7.02Jul 1, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$8.00Jul 1, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$7.20Jul 1, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$8.00Jul 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$7.20Jul 1, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$8.00Jul 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$7.20Jul 1, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.