Funny-Decline
0x0e4d4a5fba1209097a763ce68f95e52ec79e4b3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?
7207 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
7198 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-887.99
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
2207 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
2176 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-452.95
- YES
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
2000 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-553.70
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1119 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?
946 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-484.35
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out?
863 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-371.00
- YES
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?
634 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-210.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5$96.50Jun 22, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$123.17Jun 22, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$13.24May 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$204.86May 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.46May 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.46May 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.45May 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.48May 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.42May 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.43May 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.42May 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.46May 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$102.49May 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?$204.95May 23, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.22May 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$603.30May 13, 13:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.39Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$53.20Apr 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$73.86Apr 12, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $74.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.