OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 6, 2026

Will VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?

Probability

23¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$8.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-24.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 991h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $8.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 991.4h

    LOW
  • 20:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 991h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.

Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 2d ago (to 18¢).

Show all 19 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · +6.0pp → 23¢
  • 19:00 · +6.0pp → 23¢
  • 17:00 · +6.5pp → 23¢
  • 15:00 · +6.0pp → 23¢
  • 14:00 · +6.0pp → 23¢
  • 12:00 · +6.5pp → 23¢
  • 10:00 · +5.0pp → 23¢
  • 08:00 · -7.5pp → 22¢
  • 07:00 · -19.0pp → 22¢
  • 05:00 · -6.5pp → 22¢
  • 21:00 · +5.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · -29.5pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · -20.5pp → 27¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.