Icy-Prose
0x0e94bbc7c993a2bc7d99d7ca6e07a837ec09ffbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$28.34
Total PnL
$-135.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
17 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$17.25
$0.87
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?
11 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.07
$0.41
- NO
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
84 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-74.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
79 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$9.70Jul 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.05Jul 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$16.42Jul 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.03Jul 9, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 8?$2.01Jul 8, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?$2.01Jul 8, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 8?$2.00Jul 8, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?$2.00Jul 7, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.03Jul 6, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$3.64Jul 3, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 2?$6.01Jul 3, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$2.04Jul 3, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?$7.01Jul 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 2?$6.00Jul 2, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.01Jul 2, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$3.01Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.04Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Jul 1, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?$7.00Jun 30, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 29, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.