Dependable-Sibling
0x0e9c51b93f02b3e66974eb6e03caacc3d965c878
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-420.78
Realised
$2.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
1500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.25
$-27.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.60
$-29.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 14?
4000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?
141 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12AM ET
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
5 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$45.21Jul 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$45.00Jul 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Credible public sale?$31.65Jul 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals$15.64Jul 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 3+ goals$5.24Jul 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?$32.00Jul 9, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$15.31Jul 8, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$0.93Jul 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$13.76Jul 7, 05:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.61May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$85.56May 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$410.40May 19, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$48.00May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$148.36May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$153.91May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$128.57May 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$423.96May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$132.66May 15, 12:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.02May 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$470.79May 11, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $176.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.