Gloomy-Diam
0x0eaa167642d211cc0e6e7eb5b909878d93b89068
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-366.01
Realised
$24.70
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1973 shares @ 29.2¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$611.66
$36.14
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2760 shares @ 18.2¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$545.05
$43.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2417 shares @ 14.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$334.72
$-15.28
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
299 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$234.33
$34.33
- YES
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
758 shares @ 27.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$200.88
$-9.12
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360 shares @ 26.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$50.72
$5.72
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 57.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$36.82
$-9.99
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
54 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$34.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
72 shares @ 41.4¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$30.76
$0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$32.21Jun 22, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$29.67Jun 22, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$15.17Jun 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$15.20Jun 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$35.37Jun 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$1.74Jun 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$5.04Jun 21, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$15.15Jun 21, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$2.04Jun 21, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$11.46Jun 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$15.21Jun 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$25.85Jun 21, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$28.17Jun 21, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.55Jun 21, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Japan (-2.5)$37.04Jun 21, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Japan (-1.5)$27.61Jun 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5$5.08Jun 21, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$20.17Jun 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Japan (-2.5)$20.28Jun 21, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.