Sneaky-Necessity
0x0ead7a48afa30eba6413b8d5717569e514019572
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$49.9K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$97.49
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12354 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.7K
$1.7K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
10418 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.2K
$156.27
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
10340 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.6K
$100.22
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5599 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$73.34
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5406 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$154.07
- NO
Epstein client list released by July 31?
4953 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.9K
$2.51
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2534 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$8.87
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
755 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$713.01
$8.68
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
5896 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by July 31?$3.8KJul 29, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$5.70Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$0.99Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.93Jul 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$0.55Jul 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.13Jul 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$80.50Jul 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$11.73Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$11.04Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$54.28Jul 28, 02:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$101.20Jul 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$18.40Jul 27, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$458.10Jul 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$424.95Jul 27, 10:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$5.11Jul 26, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$11.50Jul 26, 13:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $350.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.