Thin-Crude
0x0f15a86f15d30543fa0646b662d481ce723c51ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.03
Total PnL
$-7.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.01
- NO
Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.76
$-0.29
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.03
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.06Jun 14, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1.08Jun 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.03Apr 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$1.08Apr 28, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.01Apr 14, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.48Apr 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.06Apr 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.01Mar 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.47Dec 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.51Dec 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.83Dec 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.34Dec 10, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.42Dec 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.42Dec 10, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.09Dec 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.12Dec 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.21Dec 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.92Dec 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.95Dec 9, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.87Dec 9, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.