Low-Manservant
0x0f1d31c9267f698701cd126abe0af37f4906408d
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.14
Total PnL
$-6.76
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$-0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-0.01
- NO
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 58m and 64m?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bogdan-Daniel Deac win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.89
$-0.12
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.62
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?$5.97Jun 26, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?$7.00Jun 26, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 58m and 64m?$7.22Jun 26, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 58m and 64m?$8.30Jun 26, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?$7.86Jun 26, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bogdan-Daniel Deac win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?$1.00Jun 26, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?$9.00Jun 26, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?$1.00Jun 26, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.91Jun 26, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.00Jun 26, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$1.03Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$1.00Jun 14, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 8?$1.01May 17, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$1.02May 17, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$1.06May 17, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.11May 17, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,900 May 4-10?$1.14May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,900 May 4-10?$7.15May 7, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,900 May 4-10?$8.30May 7, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.04May 7, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.