Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$102.94
Liquidity
$640.02
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1570.6h
- 13:24SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Jacob Elordi or Olivia Jade or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).