Darling-Lynx
0x0f29a413521dd75bd92513e17305f374e4383f60
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.50
Realised
$-1.48
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
497 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
442 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
259 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?
257 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
114 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by April 1, 2026?
51 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
42 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.69
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.25Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.