Rare-Growth
0x0f9bf99cb7f86d70704edab6c7a234bc09bf7829
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$106.3K
Total PnL
$-30.80
Realised
$11.5K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
49992 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.1K
$165.02
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
39815 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.0K
$746.69
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
11079 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.2K
$60.94
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10654 shares @ 83.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.3K
$416.59
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
3000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$645.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.30
$1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$10.1KJul 29, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.6KJul 29, 03:39 UTC
- YIELD$9.36Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$1.7KJul 28, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$9.29Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$9.30Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$9.30Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$768.03Jul 25, 06:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.14Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$9.24Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.55Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.16Jul 24, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$10.00Jul 24, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$96.10Jul 24, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$91.48Jul 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$24.00Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$70.40Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$164.23Jul 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$4.38Jul 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$61.03Jul 24, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.