Athletic-Dash
0x0f9d5cd2f1e2991d51e94a21368a4c62bba124b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$853.44
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-4.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?
317 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$314.82
$14.82
- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
299 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$275.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
179 shares @ 84.0¢·now 59.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$105.44
$-44.56
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
510 shares @ 21.3¢·now 9.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.73
$-58.96
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
505 shares @ 9.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.92
$-7.08
- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 87.4¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$37.98
$-3.02
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
270 shares @ 44.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.28
$-109.72
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.96
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLYevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?$31.74Jul 22, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?$41.00Jul 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.09Jul 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$31.79Jul 22, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?$200.00Jul 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$125.89Jul 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?$146.89Jul 22, 05:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$70.00Jul 20, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 20, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.91Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.97Jul 20, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5$4.99Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$150.00Jul 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.13Jul 19, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $58.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.