0x0fae0f278e61754537c6f5748dfc60f02d2d704a
0x0fae0f278e61754537c6f5748dfc60f02d2d704a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.38
Total PnL
$-0.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.76
$0.89
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.53
$0.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.26
$0.43
- YES
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.61
$-0.34
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 75.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.59
$0.05
- NO
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.13
$-0.14
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2 shares @ 76.3¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.47
$-1.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?$1.86Jul 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?$1.89Jul 27, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of July 27 2026?$1.98Jul 27, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 26, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.55Jul 26, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.02Jul 25, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.11Jul 25, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$3.00Jul 25, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 20 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.30Jul 24, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.56Jul 24, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$1.51Jul 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.90Jul 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2.08Jul 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 20 2026?$1.84Jul 22, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.