Deficient-Placebo
0x102a21cd89afc2d07e49562065c6fe26b80040b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$52.12
Total PnL
$-2.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53 shares @ 37.4¢·now 42.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$22.46
$2.46
- YES
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$19.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1516 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.61
$-4.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$15.59May 14, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$20.50May 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$20.46May 14, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $18.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".