Hard-Clipboard
0x102c3fe5d794f887731172f94abb8cc3f88199a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$208.91
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.10
$0.30
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
41 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.07
$0.04
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.42
$2.42
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
34 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.07
$4.77
- NO
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.86
$-3.14
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.38
$6.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 27?
5868 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 27?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 27?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 27?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$35.00May 29, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$41.03May 26, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$42.80May 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$29.30May 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.50May 8, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$35.02May 8, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?$34.01Apr 7, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$22.08Apr 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$25.55Apr 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$39.99Apr 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$40.00Apr 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$40.06Apr 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$22.00Mar 23, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$22.00Mar 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$39.62Mar 5, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$25.19Mar 5, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$39.52Mar 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$38.59Mar 5, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prince Andrew apologize by Feb 28?$23.40Mar 4, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?$27.00Mar 4, 23:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".