Alarmed-Insight
0x103ec58667548645ecc9edb123abc9ff66c96ac6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$16.15
Total PnL
$-296.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 27.2¢·now 25.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00Apr 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 13, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?$0.00Apr 8, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$0.00Apr 8, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?$0.00Apr 8, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $15.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".