Illiterate-Beancurd-Knitting
0x107d4dffb76c9c6103890b9231f497c9e2c382a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$130.50
Total PnL
$-583.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
962 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$4.81
$1.81
- YES
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 32.4¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$4.53
$4.53
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.04
$1.04
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- YES
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$1.62Jul 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 23?$0.20Jul 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 23?$1.00Jul 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?$0.65Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?$0.90Jul 22, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?$0.15Jul 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 23?$0.10Jul 22, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri stay at Manchester City?$2.73Jul 22, 11:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 0 - 0 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?$1.00Jul 21, 14:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Orgryte IS 2 - 1 Djurgardens IF?$0.20Jul 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 2 - 2 CS Huancayo?$0.15Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 0 - 1 CS Huancayo?$0.17Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 1 - 2 CS Huancayo?$0.19Jul 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$0.04Jul 19, 19:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.15Jul 18, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.