Threadbare-Clothing
0x1080396a51e3292582e0b9f59d21a71474a9776b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-392.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?
1729 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 9?
620 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
585 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
378 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-87.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 8?
61 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 7?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?
30 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$405.69Jul 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$201.10Jul 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$257.16Jul 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$48.06Jul 19, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $68.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.