Old-Fashioned-Patient
0x1086c08b94852a9a30480640de87f35830f56b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.76
Total PnL
$-26.79
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
73 shares @ 17.5¢·now 12.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.21
$-3.60
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
13 shares @ 67.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$8.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
266 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.58
$-3.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$9.15Jun 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9.89Jun 10, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?$13.34Jun 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$11.00May 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$24.40May 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$8.77May 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.10May 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$19.00May 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$19.70May 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.00May 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.25May 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.77Mar 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.19Mar 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.33Mar 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.