Imaginative-Proximity-Astrolabe
0x10a54a256fdd15b24374f8232e4d7104e39208b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$63.52
Total PnL
$-156.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
82 shares @ 61.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$63.52
$13.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET
1493 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
37 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.81
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
37 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
36 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
34 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.13Jul 26, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET$3.21Jul 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.14Jul 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET$3.20Jul 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET$3.20Jul 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET$3.20Jul 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET$3.20Jul 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$50.00Jul 26, 07:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$33.47Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$20.40Jul 10, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$64.78Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$40.46Jul 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.41Jul 9, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$31.25Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland to score first vs. Colombia?$10.18Jul 7, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.