Foolhardy-Ebook
0x10ccffea32ea8130fd77500616d7ad1c303c7660
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$30.38
Total PnL
$0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$11.63
$1.63
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 74.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$10.07May 2, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.05May 2, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.02May 2, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.2KMay 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$174.96May 2, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$20.52May 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$47.84May 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$9.51May 2, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$25.37Apr 24, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$25.04Apr 24, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$1.04Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$126.06Apr 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$180.00Apr 23, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$270.00Apr 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.3KApr 1, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.2KMar 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$215.00Mar 29, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$216.00Mar 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$198.01Mar 27, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 26, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $160.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.