Envious-Parable
0x110155f21bda08d9dfa49a928ee377d392c1dfd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$-322.44
Win rate
0%
185 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5
66306 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- GENTLE MATES
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-41.98
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
11280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-64.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- RED ACADEMY
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 Winner
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-119.99
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
9630 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.91
- UNDER
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 189.5
7189 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-526.18
- YES
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-29?
7140 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-398.55
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
3200 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5$1.08Aug 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5$2.60Aug 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5$33.39Aug 13, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5$40.00Aug 12, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5$15.20Aug 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$2.93Aug 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$0.24Aug 12, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$0.43Aug 12, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$4.60Aug 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$5.60Aug 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$10.25Aug 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$1.76Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$2.66Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$2.73Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$1.09Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$0.72Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$1.11Aug 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$9.89Aug 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5$10.40Aug 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5$20.96Aug 11, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 185 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
185 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 185 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.