Wan-Hardship
0x113a7c27ff16d7a471594682703559391d838d15
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.29
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$4.29Jan 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$0.52Jan 13, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.11Jan 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.02Jan 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTrove FDV above $60M one day after launch?$1.10Jan 8, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$1.04Jan 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $1.42Jan 1, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$1.08Jan 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $1.39Dec 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $60M one day after launch?$1.20Dec 25, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catarina Martins qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.93Dec 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$1.07Dec 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brendan Fraser win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.56Dec 14, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?$1.03Dec 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Dec 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.29Dec 6, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?$1.02Dec 2, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.22Nov 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catarina Martins qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.92Nov 28, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.19Nov 22, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.