Modest-Technique
0x1146dda305f2e5541c45d59f3c495277ebcad9fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.69
Total PnL
$-192.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NIELS MCDONALD
Tunis: Niels McDonald vs Daniil Glinka
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$2.38Jun 10, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.05Jun 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.05Jun 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.03Jun 9, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$6.10Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$7.25May 23, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner$5.10May 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$5.07May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.27May 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$10.53May 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$5.06May 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$5.11May 19, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$11.72May 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.20May 18, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.81May 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.05May 18, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.15May 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$5.07May 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.06May 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$5.07May 15, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.