Formal-Wrap
0x11c63490879c553b7b4131d6efc769e8ee89dc24
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$201.71
Total PnL
$11.28
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 14.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.28
$32.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
25 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$24.63
$14.04
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.81
$1.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
16 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$15.78
$0.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$15.30
$0.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$15.15
$0.15
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.35
$2.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
12 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$12.31
$6.40
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
11 shares @ 88.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.23
$1.27
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.93
$0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.80Mar 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.57Mar 7, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.70Mar 7, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$6.00Feb 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$6.63Feb 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.50Feb 14, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$4.75Feb 14, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$6.00Feb 14, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$6.50Feb 14, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$15.00Feb 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$15.00Feb 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.70Feb 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$15.00Feb 14, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$6.21Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$6.75Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$6.87Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.