Paltry-Poison
0x11dfd92b6e01f265f46b328ec8878b001332731f
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$-31.14
Realised
$-31.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5649 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.6K
$51.66
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.0K
$12.50
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$528.33
$28.33
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$467.50
$12.50
- YES
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
371 shares @ 90.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$361.32
$25.51
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$320.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$164.36May 4, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$14.86May 2, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$0.00May 2, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.0KApr 26, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KApr 26, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.6KApr 26, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Apr 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$148.48Apr 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.60Apr 12, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$168.81Apr 7, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 28, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$71.99Mar 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$9.96Mar 21, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $378.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".