Super-Escape
0x1236fd39ee849762426928eeda7a8be005a7d62d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- MARCO CECCHINATO
Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Interest rate" this week?$1.01May 27, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$0.34May 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.67May 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$0.50May 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade$4.12May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.09May 14, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$1.00May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?$0.96May 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.99May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?$3.12May 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.06May 13, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$1.01May 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.86May 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 13, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.