Noted-Gelding
0x1239a697ce5ee90bbdecc7abba86a347f0fd4e1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$34.58
Total PnL
$-534.54
Realised
$3.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$6.85
$-0.15
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
293 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.71
$-8.29
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1346 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.69Jun 12, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$7.12Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET$98.36Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET$61.64Jun 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET$2.13Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET$1.07Jun 11, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET$53.33Jun 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET$10.24Jun 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET$40.70Jun 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$20.66Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$10.45Jun 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.06Jun 11, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET$0.00Jun 10, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET$96.27Jun 10, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET$24.41Jun 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET$30.86Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET$1.07Jun 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$22.70Jun 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$25.21Jun 10, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.