Wallet profile

Cultured-Crunch

0x12553d779e0e756962620ca77965fbbea816dc0f

activity 50/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

2

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-16.4K

Realised

$-161.22

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$26.3K

Trades

1

Buy share

63%

Window

Jun 3, 03:50 UTC → Jun 4, 06:56 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
review

45 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

63%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

$9.6K · 37% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election37% of recorded volume$9.6KWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election35% of recorded volume$9.1KWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?29% of recorded volume$7.5K

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk71 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
45
Avg trade size
$7.8K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 3, 19:14 UTC
Last active
Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
Win rate sample
2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 13:40:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data