Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

1. 1

   Up 5pp over 24h

   Now 71¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 923h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $17.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.