Foolhardy-Brace
0x1268eae4c32bd88d64ac2e5fb5363f6f6ed30bc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$51.05
Total PnL
$-107.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$29.41
$19.41
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.88
$-8.13
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.85
$-14.15
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.46
$-12.52
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
723 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$20.00Mar 24, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$40.00Mar 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Mar 24, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1.02Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$25.64Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$39.41Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Call your Democrat" or "Call a Democrat" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00Mar 18, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00Mar 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$15.00Mar 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 18, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$5.00Mar 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$10.00Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.00Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$20.00Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$2.00Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$2.00Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash flip Monero by December 31?$2.00Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$25.64Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.08Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 22:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".