Worried-Poem
0x12b8e7c160f3ced67a22b7eadf764cd1c2c4479c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$104.9K
Total PnL
$2.9K
Realised
$776.88
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.1K
$22.1K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.2K
$6.7K
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
6000 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.0K
$833.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
5976 shares @ 89.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.9K
$589.73
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
5674 shares @ 82.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$433.44
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.0K
$13.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
3090 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$22.76
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$-22.1K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-6.7K
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
2788 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$419.60
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KJun 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$786.20Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$39.68Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$0.99Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$99.00Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.0KJun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$64.18Jun 13, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$780.02Jun 13, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$899.55Jun 13, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$2.0KJun 13, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$3.60Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$244.22Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barron Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$2.2KJun 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$8.00Jun 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$1.37Jun 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$11.24Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$234.87Jun 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$19.40Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$113.48Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$274.28Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $212.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.